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Y2K: Debunking the Myths
By Bob & Gretchen Passantino
I'm having a terrible problem in my life. Lately Ive been
researching the whole Y2K issue and its possible effects on
us and now Im scared to death and my life is a mess . . .
What also scares me is that most Christians seem to feel we
are doomed. Im at a point where I dont know what to do
anymore. Im so depressed and scared I cant eat, sleep, or
function like a normal person. I dont even find any comfort
in God anymore. . . . Am I alone in feeling this terrified
or are there others out there that feel like me? I feel like
I cant go on if things get as bad as they predict.
Over-reaction? Paranoid personality? Loser? Or is this real letter a
result of false stories and alarmism promoted by well-meaning
Christians?
Over the past year we have methodically and exhaustively researched
every aspect of the Y2K problem.
Why did it take so long? Not because it was so difficult to
understand, so complicated, the information was censored, or the
experts inaccessible. It took that long to track down and evaluate
the hundreds of rumors, stories, false statistics, and misleading
arguments propagated by major Christian personalities like James
Dobson, Jerry Falwell, D. James Kennedy, Jack Van Impe, R. C. Sproul,
Chuck Missler, Michael Hyatt, Donald McAlvany, Grant Jeffrey, and Gary
North. It is always much more time consuming to establish that
something doesnt exist than that something does. Now,
however, we can say with confidence that it is very difficult to find
even one event promoted by Y2K alarmists that is told accurately or
implies what they tell people.[1]
What Y2K Means
Most of us are already familiar with the basic Y2K (Year
2000) problem. Anyone who signifies a year with only two
digits cannot discriminate among centuries except by context. If we
refer to a battle in 63 in the context of the Civil War, we know
the date referenced is 1863. The same 63 designation for a battle
during the Vietnam War would stand for 1963. In the absence of century
markers (18, 19, 20, . . . ), confusion could arise in documents and
records such as mortgage tables, graduating classes, age-based
benefits, warranties, expiration dates, etc. The problem is
exacerbated with the approach of the end of one century and the
beginning of the next. When the two-digit year confusion is multiplied
billions of times in billions of electronic applications and
electronic devices worldwide, the confusion has the potential
of becoming economically and personally devastating.
The simple answer of replacing two-digit year markers with
four-digit ones is not always simple to implement in hardware and
software. Most early hardware and software used two-digit year
markers. To convert computer programs, data files, invoice and serial
numbers, time-stamped event codes, computer BIOSes, and other
time-sensitive devices to Y2K compliance can be an expensive,
time-consuming process. Yet, failing to correct the problem could
cause phenomenal computer chaos and resultant economic and social
disruption. These are the facts about Y2K.
In dispute is whether or not most American businesses, utilities,
governmental and private corporations will address the problem in a
timely fashion so that chaos and disruption are minimal.
How Bad Could It Get?
Y2K alarmists give various predictions about the crisis to come
January 1, 2000. Many follow the lead of Michael Hyatt, author of
The Millennium Bug, who gives three possible scenarios. The
Brownout Scenario lasts from two weeks to three months and foresees
problems with the power grid, waste and drinking water systems,
transportation, telecommunications, banking, government, military,
police, healthcare, and social stability, including isolated riots and
economic recession. His Blackout Scenario expects four months to
three years of multiple system failures and social upheaval,
including the loss of all electrical power for an extended period,
disease from untreated sewage, all planes grounded, basic food not
delivered, empty supermarkets, no phones, government shutdown of
banks, martial law, accidents with weapons systems, healthcare set
back 100 years, widespread riots, looting, and social unrest.
Hyatts Meltdown Scenario would last four to ten years or more,
include a complete breakdown of society, nuclear meltdowns, no
utilities, starvation, no banks, worthless currency, no military or
law enforcement, riots, gangs, rampant disease, civil war, and the
total collapse of the economy.[2] Michael Hyatt says he believes the
highest probability is somewhere between the Brownout and the
Blackout scenarios.[3]
What the Evidence Shows About . . .
Computers and embedded chips. Despite the very real
problem of two-digit and four-digit date fields and cross-century
calculations, the computer industry is dealing with Y2K in an
efficient, timely manner. Most personal computers, networks, and
commercial software programs do not have Y2K problems.[4] Those that
do are almost entirely repairable with little inconvenience or direct
cost to the individual consumer. Every major hardware and software
vendor has a web site with Y2K information and downloads specific to
their products, where problems can be fixed immediately and almost
always free of charge. Most computer applications for personal
consumers are not dependent on date-sensitive calculations and would
pose little problem even if they did have Y2K bugs that were not
remedied.
Embedded chips, often thought to be the infectious vector for social
collapse in telephone poles, undersea oil pipelines, automobile
engines, VCRs, home coffee makers, and other devices of Western
industry, are not going to compromise most applications in
which they are found.
Most uses of embedded chips in long-term or hard-to-access sites are
either not year-date sensitive (no date or numerical cycle) or are
already Y2K ready. Don and Joy Venoit interviewed the Project Director
of the Piper Bravo Project of Occidental Oil in the North Sea, who
said,
The safety systems mandated by the oil industry was [sic]
for triple redundancy. In 1990 we installed Y2K compliant systems
which monitored each other as well as the processes. In addition,
there is nothing put on any petro-chemical establishment worldwide
which cannot be manually overridden.[5]
Michael Hyatt claims that approximately 10,000 embedded systems
buried in the North Sea would need to be checked individually
at a cost of $75,000 each.[6] This has been repeated and embellished
by other Y2K alarmists. The Venoits interviewed Christopher McHarg, a
progammer for Lucent Technologies, who said,
Why would we go to the seabed to check each chip? A visual
inspection wouldnt tell us anything. An intelligent programmer would
go to the chip that is not installed yet and look at the actual
programming to assess compliance. Also, for the most part, the
chips have no need to know the time, day, week, month, year, decade,
or millennium.[7]
Moreover, it is important to distinguish between devices that are
truly year-date dependent and those that merely show the
date. Even one with a date function (like a timer) might still not use
the year in calculations. An older VCR that shows the year may
show an inaccurate date beginning January 1, 2000. It will still
record and play videos as it always has. Even a VCR that does timed
recordings isnt necessarily vulnerable. Out of about 4,000 products
sold by Toshiba in America since the early 1980s, only three VCRs from
the early 1980s had a limited problem. If they were programmed in 1999
to tape a program in 2000, they incorrectly calculated that the
program had already been taped. However, after 2000, the recorders
will work fine again.[8]
Careful research has shown that few consumer electronic devices are
susceptible to Y2K problems. The Los Angeles Times reported
that out of the 7,000 products Sony Electronics Inc. has made since
1972, only one sold in the United States, a video camera made in the
late 1980s, has any 2,000-related problems.[9] In general,
the Times recounted, the testing of tens of thousands of
products by consumer electronics companies, from digital thermostats
to automatic coffee makers, have turned up a surprisingly small number
that will be affected by the year 2000 problems.
The electrical power grids. An important principle to
remember about all power services, public or private, is that the
providers can never guarantee service at a particular future
time. This does not mean that vendors are not reliable. What it means
is that no one knows the future absolutely. For example, if the public
high school behind our home had asked our local electrical power
company (the Edison Company in Orange County, California) to
guarantee ahead of time our power for a weekday a few months
ago, the company would have responded that they knew of no reason that
there would be no power, but that they couldnt guarantee
anythingand they would have been prudent to respond that way. In
fact, on the day in question a large raven perched on the power pole
next to our back yard, inadvertently touched two wires at the same
time, and the resulting transformer blowout fried the bird and plunged
the high school into darkness. It took a couple of hours to restore
power, the teenagers got a short school day, but no one blamed the
power company for not predicting this unforeseen accident.
In fact, we have less reason to worry about Y2K interrupting
our power than a raven in our back yard. Y2K is foreseen, identified,
and corrected for. While we may by some chance lose our power to a
raven on January 1, 2000, were confident it wont be because of Y2K.
Waste water management. Many Y2K alarmists seized on a
relatively minor sewage spill in Southern California as an example of
what would become epidemic during Y2K. Michael Hyatt included it in an
article about Y2K Failures in July 1999, saying,
June 17, 1999: Y2K test causes massive sewage spill. Over 4
million gallons of raw sewage spilled into the streets of Van Nuys,
California on June 17 during a Y2K test of computer equipment at the
Tillman Water Reclamation plant.[10]
The truth is far different. The problem was not caused by a Y2K
computer factor. The problem occurred during a Y2K test by the
Los Angeles County Sanitation Bureau, but the computer malfunction was
caused by a programming error from 1985 that had nothing to do
with Y2K.[11]
Nuclear power plants. One of the scariest Y2K scenarios
concerns nuclear power plants. With memories of Three Mile Island,
Chernobyl, and Hollywood disaster movies on our minds, it doesnt take
much for some people to believe that Y2K could mean catastrophic
nuclear meltdown. Unfortunately for the doomsayers, the evidence all
confirms that nuclear power plants (and American power sources in
general) will not fail from Y2K.
As of September 13, all of the nations 103 nuclear power plants are
prepared to operate safely during the Jan. 1 date rollover, with only
minor administrative and support system corrections (none
mission-critical) still to be made.[12]
The nuclear power plant at San Onofre in Southern California
illustrates not only the success of Y2K troubleshooting at Americas
plants, but also the misnomers about embedded chips so often promoted
by alarmists. The Los Angeles Times reported:
Robert Haverkamps first take on the year 2000 problem at
San Onofre nuclear power plant was that it would be a daunting task,
akin to finding technological needles buried in a huge haystack of
steel, silicon and wire.
There were 190,000 separate devices at the sprawling facility south of
San Clementeany one of which might fail because of the computer
glitch.
But as he and his team began to dig in, they quickly realized that it
was not quite the haystack they had imagined. Out of 190,000 devices,
just 32,000 were electronic. Of those, only 2,900 used computer chips,
made up of just 356 types of items, such as circuit boards.
After four months of work by 45 people, they discovered that only
about one-third of the 356 types were date-sensitive, and just 38
types, amounting to a few hundred devices, needed replacing.
Its easy for me to feel comfortable now, Haverkamp said.
But I spent many long hours wondering if we had found everything. You
always worry youre going to find something big. We didnt.
. . .
Haverkamp at San Onofre found that about 40% of the time-based digital
devices he found were defective, though none could have forced a shutdown of
the plant.[13]
Despite evidence to the contrary, Y2K alarmists continue to
misrepresent the facts. In the July 1999 issue of Chuck Misslers
Personal Update news journal, staff Y2K expert Gordon McDonald
writes, In the event it is necessary to take emergency action, it
becomes quickly apparent that turning off a nuclear power
plant is not a simple operation. Once the fuel rods have been removed
from the core, it takes a full five months to cool them down to a
temperature in which cooling systems are no longer required
. . . In these five months, the plant is dependent on off-site
electrical power. If that power becomes unavailable, maintaining a stable
shutdown mode falls to the reliability of generators (p. 14).
Sounds scary, right? Check the facts.[14] Nuclear reactors can be shut
down in a few minutes; it takes only a few days of powered cooling;
all reactors have multiple power grid connections to protect them from
one or even more than one power grid failure; all reactors have
multiple backup generators with a minimum of seven days of fuel to
provide power to the grid, which are tested regularly.[15]
Government support services. Most county, state, and
federal agencies should continue to provide services without
interruption after Y2K, but alarmists seize on any irregularity as
evidence that government agencies are unprepared.
March 24, 1999: Y2K glitch makes premature welfare
payments. Almost 200,000 welfare recipients in New Jersey received
a windfall March 21 when computer tests at the state Department of
Human Services accidentally paid out an estimated $58 million in food
assistance funds . . . Officials said the mistake occured when Y2K
computer repairs were being tested. . . .[16]
This rumor illustrates an important principle: fears about Y2K have
caused almost any disruptive event to be labeled Y2K even if Y2K had
nothing to do with the problem.
This story still appears on many Y2K web sites. However, follow-up
news stories beginning the next day documented that it was not Y2K
related. Jacqueline Tencza, a New Jersey DHS spokesperson explained,
Two and a half weeks before this, we had taken the system down to
do a whole bunch of changes, including program enhancements and a year
2000 overhaul. . . . We just assumed it was all linked. I think
everyone just jumped on that assumption.[17]
The Social Security Administration began its Y2K remediation efforts
in 1989 and has spent $40 million on the project. It is confident that
it will provide uninterrupted service and payments come January 1,
2000. In fact, the SSA will deliver January benefit checks to post
offices on December 29 to avoid any outside Y2K problems their clients
might encounter.[18]
The military. The Department of Defense has conducted extensive
remediation and testing throughout the armed forces, including trial runs
of all weapons, strategic, and mission-critical systems for Y2K
anomalies. On July 13, 1999, the Pentagon wrapped up a test of the
militarys logistical systems in what was billed as the largest Year
2000 test ever conducted. The extensive test of DoDs 44
most critical logistics systems in 22 locations, handling $80
billion in annual transactions, which also covered the leap-year
rollover, is encouraging. One of the project analysts stated, We
feel very confident, based on what weve seen here and what
weve demonstrated, that weve got a system that works and
works well.[19]
The United States, Russia, and several other key nuclear armed
countries have agreed to work together to forestall any misunderstandings
or misuse of weapons because of Y2K. The United States and Russia agreed
on a shared early-warning center in Colorado that will open
in December and close (barring unforeseen Y2K problems) in January.[20]
The North American Air Defense Command (NORAD) successfully completed
testing of its mission systems, rolling the calendar forward to 2000
on their systems internal clocks. Army Lt. Col. Warren Patterson
reported, There was no degradation of [NORAD] systems. They operated
as they should, [generating] accurate, unambiguous, clear data.[21]
Financial institutions. The greatest danger Y2K poses to
consumer finances is not the failure of our financial institutions or
inability to successfully transact business, since nearly all
financial institutions in America, other developed countries,
international financiers, and federal finance agencies are fully Y2K
compliant. The greatest dangers come from (1) people making bad
financial decisions (such as paying stiff penalties and losing
interest from trading tax-deferred savings for emergency supplies and
precious metals); (2) people removing their funds from safe
institutions and keeping them at home; and (3) people falling for Y2K
financial scams, which could run the gamut from unnecessary
expenditures and unwise investments to outright theft through bunco
schemes.
The Y2K alarmists dont even make sense. As economist Martin
Armstrong explains, Even if the banking system completely failed,
no one would be able to collect debts as well as pay them. The courts
would be backlogged for decades if banks tried to foreclose and if they
did, who would they sell the assets to in a society that did not
function? . . . If you cant get money out of the banks,
no one would be able to pay them either.[22]
The Federal Reserve Board has printed an additional $50 billion in
currency, anticipating fears that worried citizens will withdraw large
sums of cash from their financial institutions. This may placate those
who are worried about our banks, but left unchecked this actually
devalues the dollar in the long run.[23]
Edward Yardeni, a top U.S. economic forecaster, is virtually the only
major economics expert who still thinks Y2K will cause serious
economic problems. He believes there is a 70 percent chance that Y2K
will cause a global recession, acknowledging that he was alone among
noted economists and Wall Street investment strategists to forecast a
Y2K-related recession.[24]
Transportation. Among the wilder speculations that even
most Y2K alarmists have abandoned was that automobiles will stop
running because of date-sensitive embedded chips in the engine system.
This could certainly be catastrophic, except these chips are not
date-sensitive.[25] The Los Angeles Times noted that major
manufacturers of automobiles sold in the United States have done
extensive testing on their vehicles and have so far reported no year
2000 problems.[26]
One pervasive rumor is that the CEO of Qantas Airlines (in Australia)
has stated that neither he nor any of his important executives would
be flying on January 1, 2000. (This leads some to suspect the safety
of most airlines.) However, Steve Hewitt carefully documents that this
is not the case. The CEO was actually informing Qantas customers that
his staff would be working on January 1 so any problems could
be dealt with immediately. He concludes, this is obviously not
because they are afraid of the skies, but because they want to be at
their post to insure that everything runs smoothly.[27]
Even countries with older fleets are coping. Mexican air officials
tested all of their mission-critical systems and most non-vital
systems on July 31, 1999 and it was a total success, said Agustin
Arellano, director of Navigation Services in Mexican Air Space.[28]
Local municipalities. Mother Jones magazine
evaluated Y2K preparedness for one typical American community, Silver
City, New Mexico (population 12,500). Their investigation covered
natural gas, petroleum, propane, telephone, water, wastewater,
emergency services, and electrical power; plus the non-local tie-ins
for those services. This comprehensive study concluded:
Bottom line? We think the good moneys on the [power]
grid [and other services continuing]. But if your lights do go out,
its hardly the end of the worldand its hardly anything new. After
all, who hasnt lived through a blackout? Dont panic, but do prepare
. . . And above all remember, if the power goes downit will come
back up. In the Y2K world of hedged bets, well go out on a limb to
guarantee that one.[29]
Despite similar evidence from various municipalities nationwide, Y2K
alarmists insist that our communities will be unable to provide citizens
with basic services. One of the most recent misinterpretations concerns a
Navy report that allegedly claims many major metropolitan areas will
suffer at least one serious infrastructure failure on January 1, 2000.[30] The truth is that the report was an
internal working document based purely on anecdotal information devised
only as a format for practicing Navy base contingency responses for
possible Y2K occurrences.[31]
The Federal Government.
One of the most helpful Internet web sites for dispelling Y2K rumors
about the federal government is the Year 2000 Conversion site, Y2K
Rumors (www.y2k.gov/java/whatsnew1.html). There one can find
arguments against the probability that the President will declare
martial law; that federal prison facilities will accidentally release
prisoners through misread parole dates or unlocked cells; that nuclear
missiles will launch uncontrollably; that the federal government has
no idea what other countries nuclear misfirings might be; that the
FAA will suspend commercial air traffic because of Y2K safety fears;
that medical equipment and devices will fail with life-threatening
results; etc.
Ask the Right Questions, Get the Right Answers
Critical thinking is essential for correctly evaluating the Y2K
problem. When you hear certain kinds of statements, you should be
asking probing questions to give you a contextual picture of the
problem.[32] Here are some sample questions:
What would the situation be without Y2K as a factor?
For
example, if someone tells you that utilities wont guarantee power on
January 1, 2000, ask, Do utilities ever guarantee power?
The answer: No. To guarantee service is to establish a liability threshold
that few vendors, public or private, are willing to assume.
Is there any hypothetical evidence that could disprove your
position? For example, if someone says the government and
businesses are hiding the truth from us because they dont want us to
panic, ask How can you tell the difference between a coverup and what
really is good news? Any time a theory cannot be
hypothetically falsified, it is useless and tells you nothing about
the reality of the situation.
What is your source or authority? Much of the Y2K alarmist
information comes from anonymous sources, anecdotal information, and
unsubstantiated Internet postings.
We have heard dozens of stories from people who say they have
firsthand experience with Y2K problems. When we try to track the story
down, it disappears. These are nothing more than variations of the Y2K
urban legend.[33] The truck
that wouldnt start because of a Y2K
faulty embedded chip turned out to have a much more prosaic mechanical
problem; the nuclear power plant official who was so worried turned
out to be strongly confident; the university student who believed his
university had sent out alumni announcements to its freshmen turned
out never to have seen one; etc.
A politicians statement should be approached much more skeptically
than that of a major industry CEO. Many of those who are heralded as
Y2K experts are only experts because they have spent hours surfing
the Internet or because they have a rudimentary knowledge of
programming. Michael Hyatt has no formal computer or economic
expertise. The jacket of The Millennium Bug describes him as
having worked in the book publishing industry for almost twenty
years, and has worked with personal computers since 1982. A part-time
programming enthusiast, he is fluent in Pascal and three dialects of
BASIC and has written numerous custom applications for companies
around the world. Thats it. Finding several people who are actively
employed in Y2K remediation is probably a better way to get a handle
on the problem.
What is the context of your information? If someone says,
The National Guard is going to be on duty December 1 through January
1, so they must be anticipating civil disaster of some kind with Y2K,
ask, How do you know thats why theyre on duty? All National Guard
units must train one weekend each month, and public perception that
the government is prepared for any eventuality might have prompted
them to schedule their drill for the weekend people are most concerned
abouteven if the worry is unfounded. Only by checking the facts and
the authorities can you know the significance of the National Guard
presence.
When was this true? Reports or opinions that might have been
valid when they were first broached may no longer be relevant. If
someone tells you, Senator Bennett thinks Y2K could be the end of
Western civilization, ask, When did he say this? You will find out
that his initial concerns were aired in 1997 and early 1998; now he is
far more confident that we will weather Y2K with minimal
disruption.[34]
Does this even make any sense? If a Y2K alarmist says that
embedded chips in the concrete of bank vaults could cause vault doors
to open on Saturday, January 1, 2000, and close on Monday, January 3,
ask, Why would any vault manufacturer, any bank architect, or any
financial institution accept a design for a vault that would render it
completely uselessif not unsecurablebecause of unreachable,
unrepairable electronic components that are notorious for all kinds of
malfunctions?
Six questions should be asked together about any particular Y2K
assessment: who, what, why, where, when, and howthe
standard journalists questions whose answers provide us with enough
evidence, context, and reason to make intelligent evaluations
regarding Y2K.
Conclusion
When Christians obsess over something that is not credible, we not
only promote falsehood, but we also rob worthy causes. Steve Hewitt
says it well:
With more Christians dying this past year for their faith than
possibly ever in our history, we do not get excited. With persecution
increasing around the world, we do nothing. With the percent of the
lost growing each year in our nation, and millions starving around the
world, nothing got us more excited than Y2K. Why? Because it
threatened our comfort, our pocket books.
As we continue to see more and more just how overblown the entire
event was, and evaluate the sensational, exaggerated reaction we had, the
issue must not end there. We need to seriously ask ourselves: what does
Y2K tell us about the spiritual state of Christianity in America?
Moreover, what does it say about our personal walk with Christ?[35]
NOTES:
1. Some of the best sources of documented
evaluation of the Y2K problem are Hank Hanegraaff, Christian Research
Institute [here or 30162 Tomas,
Rancho Santa Margarita, CA 92688-2124, (949) 858-6100]; Steve Hewitt, editor,
Christian Computing Magazine [www.gospelcom.net/ccmag or 309 S.
Washington, Raymore, MO 64083, (816) 331-3881]; Don and Joy Venoit, Midwest
Christian Outreach [here or P.O. Box
455, Lombard, IL 60148-0455, (630) 627-9028]. [return]
2. Summarized from Michael Hyatt, The
Millennium Bug (Washington, DC: Regnery Publishing, Inc., 1998), 159-181;
also on Hyatts web site (here
on 9/26/1999). [return]
3. Ibid., 180. See also here. [return]
4. For help, see University of Massachusetts
Amherst Campus Office of Information Technologies, "Preparing Your PC,"
April 2, 1999 (here).
[return]
5. Don and Joy Venoit, Y2K: Genuine
Crisis or Over-hyped Circus? Midwest Christian Outreach Journal
5, no. 2 (Spring 1999), 4. [return]
6. Hyatt, The Millennium Bug, 28. [return]
7. Venoit, Over-hyped Circus, 4. [return]
8. Ashley Dunn, Home Largely Immune to Millennium Bug,
Los Angeles Times, February 18, 1999, A-17. [return]
9 Ibid. [return]
10. Michael Hyatt, The Reality of Y2K Failures
(here). [return]
11. Miguel Bustillo, Karima A. Hayes, and Patrick
McGreevy, Big L.A. Sewage Spill Raises Concern over Y2K Readiness,
Los Angeles Times, June 18, 1999. [return]
12. David McGuire, Nuke Plants Need
Y2K Fixes, Computer Currents, September 13, 1999 (here). [return]
13. Ashley Dunn, Fears of Y2K Power Failures Dim,
Los Angeles Times, May 9, 1999, C-1. [return]
14. Such as on the Y2K page of the Nuclear Regulatory
Commission (available here). [return]
15. When Missler and McDonald were questioned about their
dubious nuclear power plant knowledge, McDonald responded on his
August 30, 1999, program that he tried to check out the five month
time by calling a noted anti-nuclear activist, Dr. Helen Caldecott,
who told him five months was inaccurateit was actually five years!
McDonald said he was still checking. [return]
16. Hyatt, Reality of Y2K Failures. [return]
17. Ashley Dunn, Computer Problem? Why Not Blame Y2K?
Los Angeles Times, April 8, 1999, C-1. See also Kathleen Ohlson
and Thomas Hoffman, Get Ready for Y2K False Alarms, Panic,
Computer World, August 11, 1999
(available here) [return]
18. L. A. Lorek, Social Security Checks to be Mailed
Early to Avoid Y2K Problems, Sun-Sentinel (Miami, Fla.),
August 11, 1999. [return]
19. Paul Stone, American Forces Press
Service, DoD Conducts Largest Y2K Test Ever, American Forces
Information Service News Article, U. S. Dept. of Defense (available here). U.S. Navy,
Naval Wire Service Report, July 12, 1999
(available here) [return]
20. Bob Brewin, Y2K Pushes U.S., Russia to Work on
Warning Center for Nukes, January 15, 1999
(available here). Associated
Press, Russians Agree to Place Officers at Missile Warning Center in
Colorado During Y2K, September 10, 1999. [return]
21. Brewin, Warning Center. [return]
22. Martin A. Armstrong, Y2K May Prove
Very Bullish for US Dollar, Bear for Gold Near-Term While Creating Inflation
Instead of Recession in 2000! (Princeton Economic Institute Research
Department, February 8, 1999). [return]
23. Associated Press, Fed Will Have
Extra Cash for Y2K, MSNBC Technology (www.msnbc.com/news/243956.asp);
Thomas Mulligan, Will Risk-Takers Take a Hike? Los Angeles
Times, Sept. 19, 1999 (available here). [return]
24. Jim Wolf, Y2K Still Likely to Spark Recession:
Forecaster, Reuters News Agency, August 11, 1999
(available here). [return]
25. Jim Mateja, Chicago Tribune,
December 10, 1998. [return]
26. Ashley Dunn, Home Largely Immune to Millennium Bug,
Los Angeles Times, February 18, 1999, A-17. [return]
27. Steve Hewitt, Y2K: The Challenge Ahead, Part 10,
Christian Computing Magazine, 11, nos. 7-8 (July 1999), (available here).
[return]
28. Mexico Says Airports, Airlines Pass Y2K Test,
Reuters News Agency, August 3, 1999
(here). [return]
29. Marguerite Lamb, Whos Afraid of Y2K? Mother
Jones, August/September 1999, 34. [return]
30. Listen, for example, to Chuck Misslers The Missler
Report radio show, September 13-17, 1999 with guests Jim Lord,
Michael Hyatt, Judy Carey, Rodger Scarlett, and Matt Hodgkiss (here).
[return]
31. Navy Office of Information, Misrepresentation of Y2K
Data Prompts Navy to Temporarily Remove Internet Posting, August 23,
1999. [return]
32. These questions are adapted from Bob Passantino,
Fantasies, Legends, and Heroes: How What You Know May Not Be So and
How to Tell the Difference (Costa Mesa, Calif.: Answers In Action,
1989), also available at www.answers.org. [return]
33. For more information on urban legends, see
Fantasies, Legends, and Heroes (above). [return]
34. Compare his remarks in the Washington Post,
July 15, 1998, with January 1, 1999. [return]
35. Hewitt, Challenge Ahead, Part 10. [return]
Bob & Gretchen Passantino are the
co-directors of Answers In
Action.
First published in Cornerstone (ISSN 0275-2743),
Vol. 28, Issue 117 (1999), p. 37-39, 44, 46
© 1999 Cornerstone Communications, Inc.
Electronic version may contain
minor changes and corrections from printed version.
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